Welcome to Managing the Next Cycle
Thursday 8th December, 2016
Denton's, Fleet Place, London EC4M 7WS
09:00 - 17.30, followed by drinks reception
Despite robust metrics and bullish forecasts, Ishka observes certain market signals which are cause for concern.
Our exclusive, invitation-only briefing gathers some of the most influential minds in the industry for a day of progressive research and debate - to tackle the critical question: has the multiyear run come to an end - and - if so, what do you need to do next?
Managing the Cycle has a twist
We will cut through the noise and establish some tangible facts, defining risks, signals and forecasting possible outcomes through unique scenario simulation sessions and data-led bespoke research.
The stage is set for open debate and sharing ideas through our interactive idea labs, so attendees are better prepared for what the future holds.
Four reasons why you should attend
MANAGING THE NEXT CYCLE IS:
1. Forward thinking
Unique scenario simulation sessions help you plan for future risks and opportunities by modelling hypothetical scenarios.
2. Exclusive and held under the Chatham House Rule
Capped attendance, (limited to 80 guests) provides an open environment for honest, senior debate.
3. Content and data driven
Bespoke research and data-led sessions deliver tangible insights unique to this event.
4. Innovative and interactive
Sessions formats that break the mould of tired panels and presentations, encouraging engagement and sharing ideas.
Please contact Tom Preselo, Head of Production: [email protected]
TESTIMONIALS FROM OUR INAUGURAL EVENT
Chairperson's opening remarks: The Ishka view
“Back to the future” Dislocations in the aviation industry to shape our future understanding of the next cycle
A reflection on the past to get an understanding of the behaviours of crisis; what are the leading signals? How do we monitor them and what are the metrics?
Defining key specific dynamics, drivers and leading indicators:
What conclusions and lessons can we draw from the past?
Are there additional metrics that are less obvious?
A consolidation of the present: Where are we in the current cycle?
A quick fire snap shot of the current state of play
Airlines - profitability, key metrics (load factors (RPKs)
Macro - GDP forecasts, emergence of a “new middle income”, economic headwinds
Asset - asset values, pricing and residual values
Risk propagation: Tracking the flow of key information
This session will examine how risk spreads, looking at past crises and other industries and we will ask the audience to vote on key questions.
The audience will vote on their perception of risk factors and relevance to the current climate.
Financiers - who is under the most pressure? Who will face a funding problem if there is a dislocation?
Collateral and asset risks - where are the weakest links in terms of aircraft values? When and how could these accelerate?
Morning coffee break
"The crystal ball"
Ishka will take you to the future, exploring some plausible scenarios, quantifying the leading risk factors and modelling the implications of each scenario.
Strategy labs: Strategic planning and management for the next cycle
The audience will split into focused groups, to encourage idea-sharing and interaction. How will key segments behave and how can management be prepared for the next cycle? -
Afternoon coffee break
The big debate: Has the industry entered into a new paradigm of super cycles?
The Ishka roundup
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