Ishka Insights: indispensable analysis and opinion

Trusted, expert assessment of the latest industry trends from the respected Ishka team, including regional analysis, airlines, lessors and critical emerging issues.

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ICBC Leasing shortlists buyers for 40 aircraft portfolio

Chinese leasing firm ICBC Leasing conducts one of the largest aircraft portfolio sales of recent history. more

22/04/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates

Aircraft ABS: Castlelake prices CLAS 2019-1

US fund manager and leasing firm Castlelake has priced its sixth structured ABS financing, Castlelake Aircraft Structured Trust 2019-1 (CLAS 2019-1). more

17/04/2019

in Capital Markets , Aircraft Finance Market

Jet Airways: Lessor repossessions gain speed as airline winds down operations

Ishka analyses the latest developments in Jet Airways’ fleet and the hurdles lessors could face. more

16/04/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles

Ishka Investor Europe: MAX and neo equity returns continue to compress

Aircraft investors and lessors gathered at Ishka’s Aviation Finance Europe conference last week confirmed that returns on new technology leased aircraft, such as the Boeing 737 MAX and Airbus A320neo, have tightned forcing many investors seeking higher returns towards older aircraft. more

15/04/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Aircraft Finance Market , Lessors and Lease Rates

Ishka Investor Europe: Aviation investors reveal environmental concerns

Ishka summarises some of the key takeaways from the Ishka’s Investing in Aviation Finance Europe conference held last week in London. more

12/04/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Capital Markets , Aircraft Finance Market

Fund watch: Huijbers launches Hong Kong equity fund, Aero Capital Solutions closes midlife aircraft fund

Ishka examines two new aviation equity funds one launched by Aero Capital Solutions, which has closed at $200 million, and another, by PH Aviation Asia, which is still seeking investors. more

11/04/2019

in Capital Markets , Aircraft Finance Market

Lessors still wait for repossessions as Azul and Avianca Brazil talks collapse

Lessors are still seeking to repossess aircraft from struggling Latin American carrier Avianca Brazil, as its creditors actively explore auctioning off the airline’s assets. more

10/04/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles

Lessor CEOs: hitting the bottom of the sale/leaseback market

Ishka reviews some of the key market concerns raised by the public aircraft lessors including AerCap, Aircastle, ALC, and Fly including a potential slow-down in capital from China, Jet Airways’ and the tension of enforcing the Cape Town Convention in Brazil. more

08/04/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Capital Markets , Aircraft Finance Market

How are airlines coping with the MAX grounding?

Ishka examines the level of optimism hinted by other airline schedules, the impact of the immediate MAX order backlog on operators, and how large and small airlines exposed to the type are reacting. more

05/04/2019

in Airline Profiles , Modelling and Forecasting , Aircraft Finance Market

AWG addresses GATS questions with draft documentation

AWG has published GATS draft documentation ahead of its planned Q1 2020 release. In it, the organisation takes pains to address some of the common question that the market has had over its project. more

03/04/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Technical Expertise , Aircraft Finance Market

Boeing struggles to push through MAX software fix

Boeing's MAX software fix has been delayed from days to weeks by the FAA, who are themselves losing the confidence of aviation authorities worldwide. more

02/04/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market , Aircraft Asset Profiles

Ishka Investival: Korean investors explore more ABS e-notes

South Korean equity investors are open to more aviation deals including aircraft ABS e-notes, according to aviation financiers and lessors speaking at Ishka’s Hong Kong Investival last week. more

01/04/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Capital Markets , Aircraft Finance Market

Ishka Investival Asia: JOL/JOLCO appetite buoyant but tax reforms spook foreign banks

Japan remained a centrepiece of discussion at Ishka’s Investival Asia in Hong Kong, with participants confident about aviation's continued appeal for Japanese investors, but uncertain about where recent tax reforms leave non-Japanese banks. more

29/03/2019

in Capital Markets , Aircraft Finance Market , Investor Education

WOW Air collapse: How are lessors impacted?

Icelandic carrier WOW Air ceased operating on 28th March after talks failed on a lifeline investment from Indigo Partners. Ishka assesses the impact on lessors. more

28/03/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles

Fly Leasing reaps rewards with AirAsia bet

It must have been quite a New Year’s party at Fly Leasing considering the impressive 2018 full-year results. Ishka assesses the impact of Fly’s decision to acquire the AirAsia portfolio on the platform and its possible future… more

26/03/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates

CDB Aviation boss: “Don’t expect to see new Chinese aircraft lessors”

CDB Aviation’s CEO Peter Chang and President Pat Hannigan believe that higher funding costs and declining yields will deter Chinese investors from creating more leasing platforms. more

25/03/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Aircraft Finance Market

Azul boss wants “fast” Avianca Brazil deal as lessors seek to reclaim aircraft

Azul’s acquisition of Avianca Brazil’s aircraft leases and airport slots needs to be closed “fast” in the next 60 days if the struggling Avianca spin-off wants “business". more

22/03/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles

Jet Airways faces repossession crisis

Jet Airways has reached a critical juncture in the negotiations for its survival with potential rescuers Etihad and the State Bank of India (SBI) locking horns as more aircraft are grounded. more

20/03/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles

Boeing likely to offer airlines compensation for MAX groundings

Norwegian says it is "obvious" Boeing will pick up the bill for the cost of the MAX groundings, but how likely is it that airlines will receive compensation from the OEM? more

19/03/2019

in Airline Profiles , Aircraft Finance Market , Aircraft Asset Profiles

ISTAT: CDB Aviation chief argues this is the “beginning of the downturn”

A panel of leasing CEOs from GECAS, SMBC Aviation Capital, CDB Aviation and Air Lease Corporation debate whether the aviation finance industry is entering a downturn. more

18/03/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Aircraft Finance Market

ALC’s declining China exposure

Optimism-driven growth was the main theme of Air Lease Corporation’s performance in 2018. But with gains from trading showing some softness across several top lessors, Ishka wonders if weakness in the secondary markets may be emerging. more

15/03/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Aircraft Finance Market

Could Azul’s proposed takeover help Avianca Brazil’s lessors?

Lessors appealing a court-mandated stay on repossessions on leased aircraft with Avianca Brazil are looking at a non-binding asset takeover deal by LCC Azul with interest. more

14/03/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles

Peter Barrett reflects on changing leasing market

SMBC Aviation Capital Chief speaks with Ishka about 737 MAX lease rates, airline bankruptcies and a tough sale/leaseback market. more

13/03/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates

Ethiopian MAX crash overshadows ISTAT conference

Chinese and Indonesian aviation authorities have grounded 737 MAX aircraft after the second crash in five months of a new MAX during take-off. more

11/03/2019

in Airline Profiles , Aircraft Finance Market

MUFG to acquire DVB’s aviation funds and finance arm

Japanese group MUFG is to acquire German DZ Bank’s aviation finance division as part of the dismantling of DVB Bank, DZ’s troubled transport finance business. Ishka analyses DVB AAM's managed fleet and the Deucalion aviation funds. more

08/03/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Aircraft Finance Market , Aircraft Asset Profiles , Airline Profiles

Which lessors are most exposed to Norwegian?

More than half of Norwegian’s 162 aircraft fleet (51%) is currently leased from third party lessors. Ishka analyses the exposure of aircraft lessors to the long-haul low-cost carrier. more

06/03/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Airline Profiles

Could CMIG sell its aircraft leasing arm?

After missing a bond payment and having two real estate stakes frozen, CMIG is rumoured to be exploring selling off some of its subsidiaries, including its aircraft leasing arm, to meet its financial commitments. more

05/03/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Aircraft Finance Market

Norwegian’s next move

Norwegian Air Shuttle (Norwegian) has been a pioneer in making the idea of long-haul low-cost a reality. However, as Ishka has previously stated, the airline’s current business model is unsustainable. more

04/03/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Airline Profiles

UPDATE: Jet Airways grounds 25 leased aircraft, others leave fleet

Struggling Indian carrier Jet Airways has confirmed it has grounded at least 25 leased aircraft in February and March due to non-payment to lessors. The troubled carrier has effectively shrunk its operational fleet by around 35% since the start of the year. more

01/03/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles

AerCap Q4 FY2018: revenues fail to catch up to unprecedented fleet growth

AerCap's capex in 2018 was unprecedented, resulting in significant improvement of the lessor's fleet metrics. Yet full-year revenues largely failed to reflect the quality of the newly expanded fleet. Ishka explores the possible reasons. more

28/02/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Aircraft Finance Market

Who is impacted by the 2019 JOLCO tax reforms?

Ishka summarises sections of the 2019 Japanese tax reform relevant to the JOL/JOLCO market and its potential effects on market participants. more

26/02/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Turboprop leases rates: Fewer lessors help ATR and Q400 lease rates stabilise

In the past 12 months, turboprop lessors have seen lease rates stabilise for both ATR72-600 and Bombardier’s Dash 8 Q400. Ishka analyses the market performance of the two large turboprops and what lessors make of this slice of the market. more

25/02/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Aircraft Finance Market

Don't underestimate the impact of IFRS 16 on airline balance sheets

In January a new accounting standard, IFRS 16, which puts operating leases on an airline’s balance sheet came into effect. Colin Sach, an aviation corporate finance adviser asks how the new accounting standard could impact airline fleet management. more

22/02/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Modelling and Forecasting , Aircraft Finance Market

Lessors win Avianca Brazil legal victory but wait to repossess aircraft

Aircraft lessors exposed to ailing carrier Avianca Brazil are expected to remain on stand-by until next month despite new court developments technically paving the way for aircraft repossessions. more

20/02/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting

Aircastle’s results overshadowed by Avianca Brazil concerns

Aircastle’s mostly positive results for the full year 2018 were overshadowed by the ongoing concerns for the fate of the lessor’s aircraft operated by Avianca Brazil. more

19/02/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Merx refinances RISE ABS

Merx Aviation is in the market with a new $429.1 million aircraft securitisation, MAPS 2019-1 Limited which will refinance the 2014 RISE Ltd aircraft ABS transaction (RISE). more

18/02/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Capital Markets , Aircraft Finance Market

Debt-laden holiday firm Thomas Cook eyes sale of airline group

Following a share slump and rising debt last year Thomas Cook has announced a potential sale of its four subsidiary airlines. Ishka examines Thomas Cook’s leased fleet and lessor exposure. more

15/02/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles

Jet Airways’ difficulties signal tough year for Indian airlines

Indian airlines had a tough year in 2018. A mixture of capacity growth, rising costs and fierce competition has put pressure on yields and margins. more

13/02/2019

in Airline Profiles , Modelling and Forecasting

Will JOLCO tax reforms impose higher costs for overseas lenders?

JOL/JOLCO lessors, offshore lenders and equity investors alike could be hit by upcoming Japanese tax reforms. more

11/02/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Germania bankruptcy: What’s next for lessors?

A new conundrum emerged in the aircraft leasing market last week: Germania. The Berlin-based leisure airline filed for bankruptcy on February 4 after 32 years in operation. more

08/02/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles

Lawyering up: Lessors appeal Avianca Brazil's latest extension

Aircraft lessors exposed to Avianca Brazil have appealed a controversial 73-day extension to a stay on aircraft repossessions granted by a court in Sao Paulo on February 1. more

06/02/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting

Cape Town in India: Bill gathers dust as implementation falters

Hopes that India could soon introduce the Cape Town Convention into its domestic legislation have been dashed, with progress unlikely until at least mid-2019. more

05/02/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Can aviation meet equity investors' return expectations?

Equity returns for leased aircraft continue to tighten. more

04/02/2019

in Capital Markets , Investor Education , Aircraft Finance Market

Jet Airways denies repossession rumours as it negotiates equity lifeline

Investors should get confirmation this week whether troubled Indian carrier Jet Airways, which denied earlier aircraft repossession reports, has agreed to an equity lifeline from its two largest backers. more

01/02/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles

Chinese lessor watch: Bocomm issues $1.5bn bond

Ishka collects the latest deals, leases and news for Chinese-owned aircraft leasing entities between November 2018 and January 2019. more

31/01/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates

Will lessors and lenders stick to their New Year resolutions?

Aircraft lessors and financiers indicate a greater resolve in trying to preserve returns for 2019. more

29/01/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Modelling and Forecasting , Aircraft Finance Market

Lessors in suspense as Avianca Brazil nears deadline

Lessors involved in Ocean Linhas Aereas S/A (Avianca Brazil) are sitting out a controversial stay on repossessions in disquiet as a February 1 deadline nears for the crippled Latin American carrier. more

28/01/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting

New beginnings – a review of the new airlines of 2018

Ishka looks at airlines that began life in 2018, and asks how secure are the plans for some of these start-ups? more

25/01/2019

in Airline Profiles

Ishka extends its Deal of the Year Awards submission deadline

Following requests, Ishka is extending its Deal of the Year Awards submission deadline to 7th February 2019. more

24/01/2019

in Aircraft Finance Market

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