Ishka Insights: indispensable analysis and opinion
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Boeing cuts output as lessors trim quarter of 737 MAX orders

MAX cancellations have been creeping up at nearly double the monthly 31-aircraft production target. Among those, lessors feature heavily. more

03/08/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates , Aircraft Finance Market

Airbus and Boeing Q2: Lessors lead order activity as OEMs cut output

Lessors “largely [drove]” OEM order activity in Q2 2020, said Airbus CEO Guillaume Faury, as airlines struggling to deal with the impacts of Covid-19 stepped back as buyers. more

31/07/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Aircraft Finance Market

Covid-19 gives lease of life for sunsetting 757 freighter

Fresh availability of 757 aircraft due to Covid-19 will extend the operational life of its freighter fleet for another two to three years, cargo sources suggest. more

23/07/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles

Moderate A330 phase-outs show airlines holding onto the type

Ishka’s review of phase-out, retirement or unscheduled lease return announcements during the Covid-19 crisis shows 50 A330s due for an early exit. more

13/07/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Airline Profiles

Risk of an oversupply of 737-800 freighters, warn cargo sources

The 737-800 freighter market is at risk of potential oversupply, say cargo sources, as more aircraft lessors and operators are looking at cargo conversion over the next few years. more

25/06/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates

ABS update: S&P announces aircraft and engine ABS downgrades

Ratings agency S&P downgraded 23 securities from 30 separate aircraft and aircraft engine ABS transactions last week. Twenty of the lowered ratings remain “On Watch” for potential further downgrade. more

24/06/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates , Aircraft Finance Market

Aircraft Values: Ishka and Oriel issue further cuts, 737 NG premium dries up

Appraisers from Ishka and Oriel recorded further cuts on lease rates and values for some assets types this month, describing aviation as still in a “shocked, survival mode.” more

22/06/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles

Airline fleet phase-outs affect up to half of 767s and A340s

A growing number of airlines are trimming their fleets as they reconsider their capacity needs in the wake of the Covid-19 crisis. more

15/06/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Airline Profiles , Modelling and Forecasting

Lessors warn of potential widebody engine spares glut

Lessors say that airlines seeking to offload engines from parked widebody aircraft during the Covid-19 crisis could create flood of spare engines that will hurt an already soft widebody engine leasing market. more

12/06/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles

Negative A380 prospects weigh down closed-end funds

Few aircraft types have been as badly hit by the Covid-19 crisis as the Airbus A380. Four funds containing 18 A380s have seen their share price decline by 54% this year. more

09/06/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Aircraft Finance Market

Engine OEMs negotiate parts discounts as deliveries drop 84%

Engine sources describe ongoing talks with engine OEMs over parts sales as manufacturers try to counteract plummeting aftermarket demand and deliveries. more

02/06/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles

Covid-19 sees “seismic” drop in aftermarket demand

Covid-19 has caused a “seismic” drop in demand for aircraft parts as airlines delay all but necessary maintenance in their efforts to conserve cash. At the same time, an accelerated rate of aircraft retirements risk flooding the parts market, pushing up supply at a time of already low demand. more

25/05/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles

Domestic resilience: Which airlines and aircraft stand to benefit?

Commercial air traffic has begun a slow recovery, raising the question of which airlines and aircraft will be best positioned in the new environment. more

18/05/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Airline Profiles , Modelling and Forecasting

Q1 2020: Airbus and Boeing bleed billions as Covid-19 hits profits

The two airframe giants booked a combined $1.2 billion net loss in Q1 2020 as deliveries and orders dry up. more

30/04/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles

OEM slowdown: Boeing and Airbus down to single digit deliveries

In this insight, Ishka examines the bleak production and delivery landscape for Airbus and Boeing. more

28/04/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Aircraft Finance Market

CDB Aviation's MAX cancellation piles further pressure on Boeing

CDB Aviation Lease Finance (CDB Aviation) has cancelled 29 of its undelivered 737 MAX aircraft order with Boeing and amended the rest of its MAX order, according to last week’s Hong Kong Stock Exchange filing. more

22/04/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Aircraft Finance Market

Ishka and Oriel cut aircraft values as airlines look to reduce fleets

Appraisers at Oriel and Ishka cut asset values and lease rates in early April across various aircraft types due to the coronavirus crisis and warn that further cuts are likely. more

14/04/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates

Aviation banks retreat to top airlines and say margins have doubled

Aviation banks are still open for business, say financiers, but terms have changed and financing institutions are only supporting existing clients, and key airlines. more

25/03/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Aircraft Finance Market

A year without the MAX

Ishka reviews how lessors and Boeing's stock have been reacting to the continued MAX grounding. more

13/03/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles

AerCap ends 2019 with surge in sales

AerCap finished Q4 2019 with a surge in aircraft sales, helping it improve key portfolio metrics and boost dividends. more

24/02/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates

Forecast: 1,001 missing 737 MAXs by year end 2022

Ishka’s head of advisory, Eddy Pieniazek and Dickon Harris explain how the grounding of the 737 MAX grounding, has disrupted aircraft delivery forecasts and aircraft lessors’ plans. more

14/02/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Modelling and Forecasting , Aircraft Finance Market

Will Qatar Airways help Air Italy’s lessors with their aircraft?

Italian carrier Air Italy ceased operations this week, leaving 12 leased aircraft without an operator. more

12/02/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates

Widebody weakness: Is demand for big aircraft declining?

Ishka looks at capacity trends in the mid-haul and long-haul segments for the past 10 years to see whether widebodies are losing routes to smaller aircraft. more

07/02/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Aircraft Finance Market

Current gen engine rents hold steady thanks to MAX grounding

Lease rates for CFM56-5B4, -7B26 and V2527-A5 engines have held firm on the back of constrained narrowbody lift. more

06/02/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles

ATR makes the case for green aircraft financing

ATR is the first commercial aircraft OEM to have delivered an aircraft funded by a green loan. more

04/02/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Aircraft Finance Market

Boeing takes $18.6bn MAX beating

The OEM now expects the 737 MAX grounding to cost it $18.6 billion as it looks to offer financial support to airlines and suppliers and eventually begin a possible multi-year catch up to pre-grounding production rates. more

30/01/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles

Lessors trade South African Airways exposure

Lessors with exposure to South African Airways breathed a small sigh of relief after the struggling flag carrier received 3.5 billion rand ($244 million) in emergency funding this week. more

29/01/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Airline Profiles

777-300ER lease rates hold on the back of 777X delay

Lease rates for midlife 777-300ERs have experienced a very slight decrease according to lessors and remarketers speaking with Ishka, contrary to expectations. more

24/01/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles

Ishka reviews 2019’s start-up airlines

This Insight rounds up the newest arrivals to the aviation industry, specifically those airlines that either commenced operations or were founded in 2019. more

22/01/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Aircraft Finance Market

Airline bankruptcies compress A330 lease rates even further

An already saturated leasing market for mid-life Airbus A330s has taken a turn for the worse with the addition of 11 A330s from bankrupt airlines. more

10/01/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Aircraft Finance Market

Thomas Cook bankruptcy: 65% of leased aircraft redeployed

Two-thirds of Thomas Cook’s UK and Balearics fleets have been re-marketed to new lessees or transferred to the surviving sister German and Scandinavian units. more

03/01/2020

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Airline Profiles

How the 737 MAX grounding has helped rationalise capacity

The following is an excerpt from Ishka’s VISTA 2020: our new forecast for the year ahead. more

29/12/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Modelling and Forecasting

737 MAX production halted: what are the effects?

Boeing announced late on 16th December that it will temporarily suspend production of the 737 MAX beginning in January. more

17/12/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Modelling and Forecasting , Aircraft Finance Market , Market Move

Future deliveries update: Europe, Africa and Middle East

Ishka provides a guide to aircraft scheduled for delivery to airlines in Europe, Africa and the Middle East over the next 24 months.  more

06/12/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Airline Profiles

Airlines snapping up aircraft bargains left by HNA

New aircraft not taken up by HNA Group subsidiaries are being leased and purchased at discount prices. more

29/11/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles

Airbus and Boeing fall short on delivery targets

Boeing has clearly had a terrible year thanks to the MAX grounding, but Airbus also faces its own challenges to meet delivery targets. more

27/11/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles

Used Embraer E190/E195 E1 lease rates to come under pressure

With major E-Jet E1 operators set to phase out the type, many lessors worry lease rates could come under pressure as early as next year. more

15/11/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates

Shared patterns: An analysis of 737s grounded over pickle forks

Ishka identifies 37 Boeing 737 NGs affected by ‘pickle fork’ cracks as over 1,000 aircraft reach the FAA’s inspection threshold. more

12/11/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Airline Profiles , Technical Expertise

Q3 update: European MAX airlines bearish on aircraft’s return

Ishka examines the Q3 announcements of several airlines affected by the MAX grounding and their increasingly pessimistic re-entry outlooks. more

08/11/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Airline Profiles

Boeing CEO survives committee grilling

Spectacle presided over substance as Boeing's CEO faced down US senators and representatives. more

04/11/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles

Boeing sticks to Q4 MAX return as commercial division bleeds $3.8bn

Boeing booked a further $872 million of costs to the 737 programme in Q3, on top of the $8.3 billion loss in Q2. more

24/10/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Aircraft Finance Market

MROs expect aircraft retirement ‘jump’ in 2020

After several years of reduced part-out activity, lessors and the MRO industry are preparing for a hike in the number of aircraft retirements in 2020. more

21/10/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates , Modelling and Forecasting

Midlife A319, 737-700 part out driven by strong demand for engines

A robust spare engine market has driven a range of investors to seek available used narrowbodies with green time engines for part out. more

14/10/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles

Aircraft OEM 20-year outlooks: How do they differ?

Ishka reviews year-on-year changes to the outlooks of Airbus, Boeing and COMAC. more

11/10/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Investor Education , Modelling and Forecasting

A220 lease rates shrink as premiums evaporate

Lease rates for the A220-300 have shrunk as arguments against its tradability weaken and lessor competition intensifies. more

08/10/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates , Aircraft Finance Market

Repo frenzy: Four airlines down, six on watch

Four airlines ceased operations in the past two weeks tentatively leaving 74 leased aircraft without an operator. more

01/10/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles

A380 funds face grim prospect of Emirates retirements

Emirates’ announcement that it may start retiring leased A380s at rental expiry could dash hopes for lease extensions into the 2030s. more

24/09/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates

How has the A220 been financed so far?

Financier appetite for (and comfort with) the A220 has been growing steadily since its 2016 introduction. more

17/09/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates

M&A: PacLife sells ACG to Tokyo Century Leasing

Pacific Life Insurance Company (PacLife) has agreed to sell its remaining shares in Californian aircraft lessor Aviation Capital Group’s (ACG) to Tokyo Century Corporation in a deal worth approximately $3 billion. more

16/09/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates

Transaction Economics

Transaction Economics – Aircraft Values and Trading Data

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Ishka Advisory – Airline Restructuring

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