Ishka Insights: indispensable analysis and opinion
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Aviation’s green dreams sidelined by Covid-19

Covid-19 has pushed the climate crisis out of the limelight. Airlines and governments worldwide have put the focus on short-term survival rather than long-term sustainability. more

08/06/2020

in Regulatory and Accounting

Covid-19 bailouts: State support for airlines approaches $100 billion

Ishka estimates that as of 23rd April governments around the world are preparing or have executed airline bailouts worth up to $99.4 billion. more

23/04/2020

in Airline Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting

Covid-19 bailouts: Airline demands vs government support (17th April)

This is the fifth updated summary of airline demands for state support and bailout offers by governments around the world. more

17/04/2020

in Airline Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting

CARES Act: US to hold 0.5% to 3% in airline stock warrants

Ten major US airlines have agreed to the partial repayment of payroll grants under the CARES Act after some initial resistance, paving the way for the disbursement of the initial $25 billion allocated to passenger carriers. more

16/04/2020

in Airline Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting

Covid-19 bailouts: Airline demands vs government support (9th April)

Ishka estimates that governments are preparing or executing up to $92 billion in financial assistance for airlines around the world. more

09/04/2020

in Airline Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

US airlines bailout: What does the fine print say?

A $58 billion bailout for US airlines was signed into law by President Donald Trump on 27th March as part of the CARES Act. Ishka examines the provisions for state aid to US air carriers. more

30/03/2020

in Airline Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Covid-19: Airline demands vs government support

Ishka provides a summary of the demands by airlines for state assistance and the current levels of government support and bailouts on offer. more

19/03/2020

in Airline Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

EU to add aviation investments to green taxonomy

EU bodies are looking to add aviation to its upcoming green taxonomy, which regulates what debt and public equity investments can be marketed as sustainable to European investors. more

25/02/2020

in Regulatory and Accounting , Capital Markets , Aircraft Finance Market

737 MAX production halted: what are the effects?

Boeing announced late on 16th December that it will temporarily suspend production of the 737 MAX beginning in January. more

17/12/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Modelling and Forecasting , Aircraft Finance Market , Market Move

Shipping sulphur regulations push up jet fuel prices

The premium of jet fuel over crude oil has increased 31.3% since new limits for the sulphur content of marine fuels was announced. more

11/11/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting

Treaty lenders make cautious comeback after Japanese tax reforms

Treaty lenders are slowly returning to the Japanese market after tax reforms announced last year left overseas lenders unsure how competitive they could be against domestic banks when contending for JOLCO debt mandates. more

22/10/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting

COMAC wins in the Airbus-Boeing WTO dispute

Burgeoning aircraft manufacturers like COMAC are reaping the rewards of the Boeing-Airbus World Trade Organisation (WTO) dispute. more

07/10/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Aviation struggles to control the climate crisis narrative

Public fallout from the climate crisis represents an “existential” threat to aviation, said panellists at this year’s ISTAT Berlin. more

03/10/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Aircraft funds should be wary as courts rule against ‘tax treaty shopping’

In a guest Insight, PwC Ireland examines the increasing judicial scrutiny towards treaty-based tax planning and what it may mean for aircraft lessors and investors. more

09/08/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Boeing Q2: No certainty on MAX return to service

Boeing has prepared multiple and divergent plans for the MAX's return to service, betraying the uncertainty that still surrounds the MAX crisis. more

25/07/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting

In Germany, Spezialfonds timidly rise from KG market ashes

Ishka examines the German closed-end fund market: from the demise of retail KG funds to the slow emergence of Spezialfonds for institutional investors. more

23/07/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

“Flight shame” poses long-term risk to aviation

After a decade of growth, 2019 Q1 passenger numbers in Sweden are 4.2% lower than the same period in 2018. Is aviation finance waking up to the long term risk of climate-conscious passengers? more

17/07/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Will an EU fuel tax push airlines towards new-tech aircraft?

With efforts to tax aviation fuel gaining traction across the EU, Ishka examines the impact that kerosene taxes could have on aircraft demand. more

04/07/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Modelling and Forecasting

Update: €0.33/litre European jet fuel tax on the cards after EU elections

All of the political groups likely to form the European Parliament's next majority back a commercial jet fuel tax. Update: Tax would have meant 82.44% increase of 2018 - 19 fuel costs. more

31/05/2019

in Airline Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting

ISTAT Asia: MAX likely grounded until end of 2019

Attendees and appraisers at ISTAT Asia did not think the MAX would be flying again in time for the summer season and asked how the grounding could impact MAX values and lease rates. more

14/05/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Aircraft Finance Market , Regulatory and Accounting

Climate change protesters turn to aviation

A small group of climate protesters targeted Heathrow Airport this weet. How seriously should aviation financiers take the threat of future demonstrations? more

23/04/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Investor Education

Ishka Investor Europe: Aviation investors reveal environmental concerns

Ishka summarises some of the key takeaways from the Ishka’s Investing in Aviation Finance Europe conference held last week in London. more

12/04/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Capital Markets , Aircraft Finance Market

AWG addresses GATS questions with draft documentation

AWG has published GATS draft documentation ahead of its planned Q1 2020 release. In it, the organisation takes pains to address some of the common question that the market has had over its project. more

03/04/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Technical Expertise , Aircraft Finance Market

Boeing struggles to push through MAX software fix

Boeing's MAX software fix has been delayed from days to weeks by the FAA, who are themselves losing the confidence of aviation authorities worldwide. more

02/04/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market , Aircraft Asset Profiles

Who is impacted by the 2019 JOLCO tax reforms?

Ishka summarises sections of the 2019 Japanese tax reform relevant to the JOL/JOLCO market and its potential effects on market participants. more

26/02/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Don't underestimate the impact of IFRS 16 on airline balance sheets

In January a new accounting standard, IFRS 16, which puts operating leases on an airline’s balance sheet came into effect. Colin Sach, an aviation corporate finance adviser asks how the new accounting standard could impact airline fleet management. more

22/02/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Modelling and Forecasting , Aircraft Finance Market

Lessors win Avianca Brazil legal victory but wait to repossess aircraft

Aircraft lessors exposed to ailing carrier Avianca Brazil are expected to remain on stand-by until next month despite new court developments technically paving the way for aircraft repossessions. more

20/02/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting

Aircastle’s results overshadowed by Avianca Brazil concerns

Aircastle’s mostly positive results for the full year 2018 were overshadowed by the ongoing concerns for the fate of the lessor’s aircraft operated by Avianca Brazil. more

19/02/2019

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Will JOLCO tax reforms impose higher costs for overseas lenders?

JOL/JOLCO lessors, offshore lenders and equity investors alike could be hit by upcoming Japanese tax reforms. more

11/02/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Lawyering up: Lessors appeal Avianca Brazil's latest extension

Aircraft lessors exposed to Avianca Brazil have appealed a controversial 73-day extension to a stay on aircraft repossessions granted by a court in Sao Paulo on February 1. more

06/02/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Lessors and Lease Rates , Airline Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting

Cape Town in India: Bill gathers dust as implementation falters

Hopes that India could soon introduce the Cape Town Convention into its domestic legislation have been dashed, with progress unlikely until at least mid-2019. more

05/02/2019

in Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Lessors in suspense as Avianca Brazil nears deadline

Lessors involved in Ocean Linhas Aereas S/A (Avianca Brazil) are sitting out a controversial stay on repossessions in disquiet as a February 1 deadline nears for the crippled Latin American carrier. more

28/01/2019

in Aircraft Asset Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting

Could aviation finance attract ESG investors?

Ishka examines whether aviation finance, a notoriously carbon-intensive industry, could meet ESG (environmental, social, governance) criteria and attract ethical investors. more

29/11/2018

in Regulatory and Accounting , Capital Markets , Investor Education

What to do with an insolvent airline?

Should insolvent airlines be permitted to continue operating their aircraft temporarily? more

15/11/2018

in Regulatory and Accounting

How long will China remain 'closed for business' for Boeing?

Chinese airlines have been conspicuous in their avoidance of direct aircraft orders with Boeing as the trade war heats up between China and the US. more

09/10/2018

in Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Q1 2018 Traffic Update: Year-on-year load factors pick up

As part of a regular series looking at the trends in air traffic and capacity, in this week’s Insight, Ishka reviews the traffic and capacity changes during the first quarter of 2018. more

23/05/2018

in Regulatory and Accounting

Slots still risky for financiers as collateral despite Monarch victory

Monarch’s creditors recently won the right to trade the defunct carrier’s airport slots after an appeal but White & Case, in a guest report, argues that slots still represent uncertain collateral for financiers. more

08/05/2018

in Regulatory and Accounting

IFRS rules likely to cause currency volatility for airlines

One consequence of incoming accounting changes, IFRS 16 and IFRS 9 will be increased currency costs for airlines with predominately non-US dollar revenues. more

16/01/2018

in Regulatory and Accounting

Hong Kong’s latest bid for aircraft leasing ‘dominance’

Proposed changes to how Hong Kong-listed lessors report aircraft transactions are part of an effort to reduce their operating costs and improve the attractiveness of listing in the city. more

27/11/2017

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

US airlines save billions under Trump tax changes

A proposed cap on corporate tax deductions for net interest expense is unlikely to have any effect on US airlines, but a 15% reduction in the top rate will be a boon for carriers. more

24/11/2017

in Airline Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Big three US carriers aren’t paying any corporation tax

The big three US carriers have been able to offset recent record profits thanks to years of previous losses. more

15/11/2017

in Airline Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting

Untested: non U.S. EETCs in bankruptcy

Ishka takes a closer look at the creditor protections for Norwegian’s EETC. more

06/11/2017

in Regulatory and Accounting , Modelling and Forecasting , Aircraft Finance Market

Airlines neglect EU compensation rules at their peril

Carriers have fought EU compensation legislation bitterly since its introduction in 2005 more

30/10/2017

in Regulatory and Accounting , Technical Expertise

What impact will the end of QE have on aircraft rents?

As the Fed begins to end quantitative easing Ishka examines how aircraft rents will begin to be impacted. more

29/09/2017

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Regulatory and Accounting

Airlines charge lessors more for novations

As the world’s fleet increases, airlines are forced to spend time doing novations as lessors trade their aircraft. Ishka examines some of the challenges lessors and airlines face with novations. more

04/09/2017

in Lessor finances , Regulatory and Accounting , Technical Expertise

Will Brexit force the UK to drop out of the European open skies deal?

In a special guest insight piece, RDC Aviation Economics’ Tim Coombs, looks at the impact of Brexit on airlines and airports. more

21/08/2017

in Airline Profiles , Regulatory and Accounting

H1 2017 traffic growth and load factors up but Middle East sees decline

As part of its regular series on air passenger traffic, Ishka studies the evolution of traffic and capacity during the first six months of 2017. more

18/08/2017

in Regulatory and Accounting

Repossession risk report: Nigeria and Turkey

Anecdotal evidence suggests that aircraft repossessions are on the rise. Ishka looks at two of the more difficult jurisdictions to retrieve an aircraft from: Nigeria and Turkey. more

03/07/2017

in Lessors and Lease Rates , Regulatory and Accounting , Technical Expertise

How will changes to Ireland’s double tax treaties impact new lessors?

Ishka reviews what changes to Ireland’s double tax treaties as part of the OECD BEPS regulations could mean for aircraft lessors. more

22/06/2017

in Regulatory and Accounting , Aircraft Finance Market

Transaction Economics

Transaction Economics – Aircraft Values and Trading Data

Get real pricing and deals data and dynamic, independent aircraft values from Ishka’s trusted team

Ishka Advisory – Airline Restructuring

We have provided high-level support in business restructuring as well as deep dive analysis on airlines since 1990.

Ishka Insights

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